Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.011459 0.013887 0.016925 0.021091 0.026799 0.034572 0.046391
2025-03-02 0.008141 0.010711 0.014338 0.020089 0.029530 0.045617 0.078533
2025-03-09 0.006559 0.009081 0.012929 0.019667 0.032306 0.058168 0.128174
2025-03-16 0.005702 0.008224 0.012321 0.020129 0.036667 0.077249 0.228850
2025-03-23 0.005024 0.007474 0.011654 0.020183 0.040208 0.098326 0.406719
2025-03-30 0.004387 0.006666 0.010690 0.019308 0.041164 0.113741 0.650897
2025-04-06 0.003934 0.006096 0.010033 0.018866 0.043024 0.135441 1.174966
2025-04-13 0.003666 0.005805 0.009841 0.019392 0.048006 0.179597 3.187784
2025-04-20 0.003519 0.005707 0.010004 0.020819 0.056999 0.270064 23.752329
2025-04-27 0.003343 0.005528 0.009961 0.021717 0.065095 0.392172 14542.523362
2025-05-04 0.003124 0.005237 0.009626 0.021716 0.069777 0.516632 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002931 0.004976 0.009315 0.021695 0.074572 0.689419 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002718 0.004677 0.008928 0.021537 0.079973 0.984799 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002480 0.004301 0.008314 0.020518 0.080231 1.225505 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002302 0.004033 0.007915 0.020084 0.083836 1.739785 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002189 0.003889 0.007792 0.020560 0.094446 3.363632 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002070 0.003716 0.007570 0.020616 0.102669 6.520289 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001924 0.003473 0.007129 0.019715 0.102235 9.227834 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001811 0.003290 0.006825 0.019260 0.105508 16.936900 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001746 0.003207 0.006772 0.019802 0.119854 93.741731 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001715 0.003200 0.006922 0.021270 0.149349 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001667 0.003148 0.006941 0.022196 0.177042 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.001597 0.003036 0.006773 0.022194 0.192226 NaN NaN